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CBOT大豆周報

產業鏈 2023-04-24 138 0 0

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截至2023年4月21日當周，芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT）大豆期貨下跌逾1%，近期合約失守15美元關口。巴西大豆港口基差跌至歷史低點，促使美國買入巴西大豆；美豆出口銷售疲軟，中西部天氣前景有利于大豆播種展開，抵消了美國國內大豆壓榨需求強勁所提供的支持。本周南美消息繼續左右大豆市場走勢。巴西創紀錄的大豆產量正在集中上市，4月份大豆出口量可能超過1500萬噸，創出歷史紀錄，港口基差報價已經比美國大豆基準價格低200美分/蒲，即使算上運費，美國進口巴西大豆也很劃算。美國農業部出口銷售周報顯示，截至4月13日當周，美國大豆銷售總量約10萬噸，遠低于上周的43萬噸。2022/23年度迄今美國大豆出口銷售總量為5038萬噸，同比減少11.8%，上周是同比減少11.2%。美國農業部作物進展周報顯示，截至4月16日，美國大豆播種完成4%，高于去年同期以及五年均值1%。中西部幾個大豆主產州都已經開始大豆播種工作。氣象機構預測未來幾天中西部地區天氣溫暖干燥，有助于春播工作進一步推進。美國全國油籽加工商協會（NOPA）稱，3月份會員企業共加工1.858億蒲大豆，環比增長12.3%，創下15個月以來最高，也超過市場預期的1.83411億蒲。從基金動向來看，截至4月18日，投機基金在大豆期貨以及期權部位持有凈多單134,782手，比一周前增加9,760手。下面是過去一周期市述評： 4月17日，大豆期貨上漲，因為阿根廷谷物檢查員罷工，美國大豆壓榨強勁。 4月18日，大豆期貨收盤上漲，因為中西部可能降雨，將會放慢春播進度。 4月19日，大豆期貨下跌，因巴西大豆批量上市，原油期貨走低，美元走強。 4月20日，大豆期貨下跌，因出口銷售低于預期，產區天氣良好，有利春播。 4月21日，大豆期貨收盤下跌，主要受到美國從巴西進口大豆的不利影響。 4月21日收盤時，5月大豆期約比一周前下跌17美分，報收1483.50美分/蒲；7月期約比一周前下跌18.25美分，報收1449美分/蒲；11月期約比一周前下跌16.25美分，報收1285.25美分/蒲。

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來源：博易大師；作者：XXX；農產品集購網轉載本文僅為傳播更多信息為目的，并不表示本網認可文中作者觀點。如因作品內容、版權、稿酬未付和其他任何問題需要同本網聯系的，請在30日內進行，聯系電話0512-65716709#8012。

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